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Category: Market Insights

Oil Price Projections: The S-Curve, EVs, and the Future of Energy

https://alaricsecurities.com/oil-price-projections-the-s-curve-evs-and-the-future-of-energy/
If I could turn back time 20 or 30 years, one concept I’d want to grasp sooner is the S-Curve. Understanding the S-Curve and its implications on oil price projections would have been invaluable. The ...

EURUSD Forecast: The Road to 1.20 Level and Beyond

https://alaricsecurities.com/eur-usd-forecast-september-2023/
In this EURUSD Forecast September 2023, we revisit our prior examination, initially discussed in the article EURUSD Forecast: Is the EUR finally out of the Woods? Our earlier assessment provided insights suggesting that the Euro ...

Opinion: The Federal Reserve Needs to Be Regulated

https://alaricsecurities.com/opinion-the-federal-reserve-needs-to-be-regulated/
A Call for Accountability, Transparency, and Global Foresight First, let’s start with some history – The Federal Reserve (the Fed) was established in 1913 with the Federal Reserve Act after a series of market crashes, ...

Inflation Rate Predictions: Analyzing the 10-Year Breakeven Rate

https://alaricsecurities.com/inflation-rate-predictions-analyzing-the-10-year-breakeven-rate/
If you have gambled on sports or even just filled a March Madness bracket, gaining insights into the uncertainties of life, including the unpredictability of future events, is inevitable. Among the areas riddled with uncertainty, ...

How Implied Volatility Affects Stock and Bond Prices

https://alaricsecurities.com/how-implied-volatility-affects-stock-and-bond-prices/
Your best indicator for anticipating future asset price action As a former options market maker with a robust background in analyzing asset prices and implied volatility, I’ve realized the intricate relationship between these two factors. ...

Impact of Fitch Downgrade on US Debt and Markets

https://alaricsecurities.com/impact-of-fitch-downgrade-on-us-debt-and-markets/
What are the credit rating trends and long-term implications? If you are an active trader or an investor, you are likely aware of the recent Fitch downgrade that took place on August 1st, 2023. Fitch ...

Inflation 2023 and Beyond: Projections and Insights

https://alaricsecurities.com/inflation-2023-and-beyond-projections-and-insights/
Interest rates and inflation have been on most market participants’ minds for nearly two years now. Inflation 2023, in the words of Fed’s Chairman Powell, was expected to be transitory. It turned out it was ...

Top 6 Trading Rules Every Trader Must Follow

https://alaricsecurities.com/top-6-trading-rules-every-trader-must-follow/
Trading foundations: basic principles that will guide you to success Trading rules are fundamental stepping stones on our journey towards achieving trading success. We often wrestle with this pivotal question, “What are these essential guidelines?” ...

Do Eastern European Government Bonds Still Offer Opportunities

https://alaricsecurities.com/do-eastern-european-government-bonds-still-offer-opportunities/
Present outlook on bond yields We’ve been keeping a close eye on Eastern European government bonds. We first highlighted the appeal of these investments when Bulgarian, but particularly Romanian, bonds were trading at rates much ...

How to measure inflation: CPI vs. PPI

https://alaricsecurities.com/how-to-measure-inflation-cpi-vs-ppi/
According to Wikipedia, inflation is defined as the increase in general price levels of goods and services. However, accurately measuring inflation is challenging due to the wide variety of goods and services individuals purchase. Each ...