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Category: Market Insights

Oil Market in 2023: the Party is Cancelled

https://alaricsecurities.com/oil-market-in-2023-the-party-is-cancelled/
OPEC plus, a group of oil-producing countries, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia announced it would cut production by more than 1.2 million barrels of crude a day — more than 1% of global supplies; ...

Why Do You Need to Practice the Margin of Safety/Diversification?

https://alaricsecurities.com/why-do-you-need-to-practice-the-margin-of-safety-diversification/
‘The only investors who shouldn’t diversify are those who are right 100% of the time’ – Sir John Templeton The fields of trading and investing are quite different from most other professions. For example, if ...

EUR/USD Forecast: Is the Euro Finally Out of the Woods?

https://alaricsecurities.com/eur-usd-forecast-is-the-euro-finally-out-of-the-woods/
They say that a picture tells a thousand words, so let’s start with a 10-year price history of EUR/USD: As you can see from the chart above, over the last ten years, this currency pair ...

Money Management: Quick Look at Leveraged Shares Performance

https://alaricsecurities.com/money-management-quick-look-at-leveraged-shares-performance/
Why Trading Leveraged Shares is Like Driving on a Flat Tire Leveraged shares trading is getting very popular nowadays. Multiple 200% and 300% leveraged shares ETFs aim to replicate 200% or 300% of the DAILY ...

In the Spotlight: SVB Collapse and its Historical Parallels

https://alaricsecurities.com/in-the-spotlight-svb-collapse-and-its-historical-parallels/
‘History does not repeat itself. It rhymes’ — Mark Twain The world is once again embroiled in a banking crisis. We are sure you have by now already heard that Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank ...

US Job Openings Point to Strong Market Recovery in 2023

https://alaricsecurities.com/us-job-openings-point-to-strong-market-recovery-in-2023/
In contrast with the shallow consumer confidence and hawkish FED policy, the labor market dynamics stays bullish During the last several months, we started hearing about companies downsizing — Meta (META), Goldman Sachs (GS), Google ...

Small-Cap or Large-Cap: Which is Better Investment

https://alaricsecurities.com/small-cap-or-large-cap-which-is-better-investment/
If you have ever taken courses in finance, you probably remember the term CAPM — Capital Asset Pricing Model. The model calculates the expected rate of return for an asset or investment and as a ...

Eastern European Bonds as a Good Bargain (Revisited)

https://alaricsecurities.com/eastern-european-bonds-as-a-good-bargain-revisited/
On Nov 16 last year, we published our blog post ‘Are Eastern European Bonds Way Too Undervalued,’ where we made the case that Bulgarian and Romanian government bonds were a bargain at that time. It ...

The Fed is Fighting Inflation That No Longer Exists

https://alaricsecurities.com/the-fed-is-fighting-inflation-that-no-longer-exists/
 ‘Once you get burned by hot milk, you tend to blow even on yogurt’ — Turkish Proverb On November 8th, 2022, we published a blog, ‘US Inflation in 2023 at 1.3? Is the Fed Wrong Again?’  ...

Why You Need to Buy (US) Stocks in One Chart

https://alaricsecurities.com/why-you-need-to-buy-us-stocks-in-one-chart/
Prof Jeremy Siegel of the Wharton School published a chart in his book Stocks for the Long Run that we want to share with you: We decided it would be better NOT to update the chart to ...