Is AAPL a Buy or a Short
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/is-aapl-a-buy-or-a-short/
We have covered Apple Inc. (AAPL) several times in our Market Insights series. Our earliest article, published in May 2024, argued that AAPL was cheap and worth investing in. Later articles focused mostly on the ...
Is It a Good Time to Short SPCX Stock
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/short-spacex-stock/
It has been four months since SPCX stock began trading, putting Space Exploration Technologies Corp. on the public market at a valuation grounded, to put it mildly, in elevated expectations about the future. That, by ...
EURUSD Forecast October 2026: Bond Spreads Change the Picture
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/eurusd-forecast-october-2026/
In our EURUSD forecast for October 2026, we revisit the currency pair we covered in our August article – EURUSD Forecast 2026: Why 1.10 Is Next. At the time the pair was trading around 1.1675, ...
Is the Euro Stoxx 50 Index Too Cheap to Ignore
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/blog-euro-stoxx-50-index/
The story of the tape over the last month or so has been one of two stock markets. On the one hand, old-economy indexes such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 are ...
Anthropic IPO – What Do We Know So Far
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/anthropic-ipo-what-do-we-know-so-far/
The Anthropic IPO moved a step closer in June, when Anthropic PBC (a Delaware Public Benefit Corporation, commonly referred to as Anthropic) confidentially submitted a draft S-1 to the SEC – one of the steps ...
Lessons Learned from Situational Awareness LP
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/lessons-learned-from-situational-awareness-lp/
Three Lessons from the Year’s Most Dramatic Hedge Fund Drawdown We will admit to our readers that we knew nothing about Situational Awareness LP prior to its spectacular drawdown in July. Nor did we know ...
High Yield Credit Spreads Are Showing Cracks
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/high-yield-credit-spreads-are-showing-cracks/
What CCC Credit Spreads Reveal About the Next Correction High yield credit spreads deserve a closer look right now and the data isn’t as comfortable as the headline yields suggest. Start with the ICE BofA ...
Treasury Twist: Was Scott Bessent Right After All
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/treasury-twist-was-scott-bessent-right-after-all/
On August 19, 2026, the US Treasury Department announced that it was doubling the size of its “liquidity support” for long-dated US Treasuries from USD 2 billion to USD 4 billion per operation. The news ...
Is a Recession Coming Soon
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/is-a-recession-coming-soon/
Is a recession coming? It’s a question that matters for traders and investors alike, and a 25-year chart of US labor data gives us a good place to start looking for an answer. Below is ...
EURUSD Forecast 2026: Why 1.10 Is Next
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/eurusd-forecast-2026-why-1-10-is-next/
EURUSD has climbed to levels that appear stretched relative to its long-term fair value. Using a 48-month Bollinger Band model and comparing US and German breakeven inflation rates, this EURUSD forecast argues that the pair is ...