Is the Euro Stoxx 50 Index Too Cheap to Ignore
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/blog-euro-stoxx-50-index/
The story of the tape over the last month or so has been one of two stock markets. On the one hand, old-economy indexes such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 are ...
Anthropic IPO – What Do We Know So Far
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/anthropic-ipo-what-do-we-know-so-far/
The Anthropic IPO moved a step closer in June, when Anthropic PBC (a Delaware Public Benefit Corporation, commonly referred to as Anthropic) confidentially submitted a draft S-1 to the SEC – one of the steps ...
Lessons Learned from Situational Awareness LP
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/lessons-learned-from-situational-awareness-lp/
Three Lessons from the Year’s Most Dramatic Hedge Fund Drawdown We will admit to our readers that we knew nothing about Situational Awareness LP prior to its spectacular drawdown in July. Nor did we know ...
High Yield Credit Spreads Are Showing Cracks
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/high-yield-credit-spreads-are-showing-cracks/
What CCC Credit Spreads Reveal About the Next Correction High yield credit spreads deserve a closer look right now and the data isn’t as comfortable as the headline yields suggest. Start with the ICE BofA ...
Treasury Twist: Was Scott Bessent Right After All
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/treasury-twist-was-scott-bessent-right-after-all/
On August 19, 2026, the US Treasury Department announced that it was doubling the size of its “liquidity support” for long-dated US Treasuries from USD 2 billion to USD 4 billion per operation. The news ...
Is a Recession Coming Soon
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/is-a-recession-coming-soon/
Is a recession coming? It’s a question that matters for traders and investors alike, and a 25-year chart of US labor data gives us a good place to start looking for an answer. Below is ...
EURUSD Forecast 2026: Why 1.10 Is Next
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/eurusd-forecast-2026-why-1-10-is-next/
EURUSD has climbed to levels that appear stretched relative to its long-term fair value. Using a 48-month Bollinger Band model and comparing US and German breakeven inflation rates, this EURUSD forecast argues that the pair is ...
S&P 500 Sector Performance: Mid-Year Review ’26
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/sp500-sector-performance-2026/
At mid-year, the S&P 500’s 11 sectors show clear differences in valuation, earnings strength, and investor expectations. Using data from State Street Global Advisors, we assess which sectors offer genuine relative value, which appear fairly ...
US Treasuries: Mid-Year 2026 Update
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/us-treasuries-mid-year-2026-update/
We’ve written before about our positive stance on US Treasuries, most recently in our May 20 blog, “US Bond Market Outlook May 2026.” Clients and colleagues keep asking whether that view has changed. So we ...
Middle East Crisis 2.0: Is the conflict back on
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/middle-east-crisis-oil-outlook/
The Middle East crisis is back in the headlines, and the news over the past week has been bad. The US and Iran have both said the Memorandum of Understanding that settled the conflict, signed ...