Stock Market Outlook 2026
https://alaricsecurities.com/stock-market-outlook-2026/
The S&P 500 is up a little over 16% year-to-date, excluding dividends, and is trading near all-time highs. Most Wall Street analysts expect an additional 10%–14% appreciation in 2026. Under normal circumstances, this would be ...
Next Fed Chair: Who Deserves the Job
https://alaricsecurities.com/next-fed-chair-opinion/
For the regular readers of the Market Insights series, it should come as no surprise that we are not fans of Mr. Jerome Powell. There are multiple reasons for that, but it invariably comes down ...
Microsoft Stock Outlook: Buy, Hold, or Avoid Right Now
https://alaricsecurities.com/microsoft-stock-outlook-buy-hold-or-avoid-right-now/
We have written about Microsoft stock (Nasdaq: MSFT) several times before—most recently in October 2024, when the stock was trading near USD 420, and we viewed it favorably. A little over a year later, with ...
Economy Outlook After US Government Shutdown 2025
https://alaricsecurities.com/economy-outlook-after-us-government-shutdown-2025/
The government shutdown 2025 is already shaping markets, sentiment, and economic expectations—but comparisons to past shutdowns or the year 2000 are misleading. Having traded since 1999, I’ve seen major cycles firsthand, and today’s environment is ...
Solactive ETF Review: Not All ETFs Are Equal
https://alaricsecurities.com/solactive-etf-review-not-all-etfs-are-equal/
We live in extraordinary times, some would even say revolutionary. AI is transforming our daily lives, President Trump is redefining what a president can and cannot do, and the financial industry seems to be creating ...
Gold: Trend Is Not Your Friend Forever
https://alaricsecurities.com/gold-trend-is-not-your-friend-forever/
We covered gold a few weeks ago, back in September, in our piece Copper vs Gold as an Inflation Hedge. But the recent spike in volatility has put precious metals back in the spotlight — ...
The 7 Year Cycle in Markets: Fear, Euphoria, Regret Repeat in Predictable Waves
https://alaricsecurities.com/7-year-cycle-growth-dip/
What Behavioral Finance Reveals About Growth and Decline The 7(ish)-year cycle describes how emotional and economic growth naturally slows or contracts after six to eight years of expansion. Behavioral finance shows that markets and human ...
Trade War Escalation: Is it Time for Treasuries
https://alaricsecurities.com/trade-war-escalation-is-it-time-for-treasuries/
Spotlight: IEF and TLT treasury ETFs Key Points The U.S.–China trade war escalation has ended months of market calm, triggering renewed volatility across global equities. Analysts see limited upside for stocks after strong gains this ...
Are We Headed for a Stock Market Correction in 2025
https://alaricsecurities.com/stock-market-correction-2025-outlook/
A colleague once lamented that every time his relationship with his wife seemed to be going well, something would happen, and suddenly there would be a lot of crying involved. That got me thinking: just ...
Till Drawdown Do Us Part: Marrying Your Positions
https://alaricsecurities.com/till-drawdown-do-us-part-marrying-your-positions/
Marrying your positions is often used as a warning in trading – don’t get too attached, don’t let emotions dictate decisions. Yet the reality is that successful long-term investing does require a form of marriage. ...