Category: Market Insights

US Recession in 2025? The Market Might Not Care

https://alaricsecurities.com/us-recession-in-2025-the-market-might-not-care/
With fears of a US recession in 2025 building, traders and investors once again find themselves at a familiar crossroads, caught between anxiety and anticipation. Trading and investing have always been strange professions: one moment, ...

United Health Stock: Time for a Reassessment

https://alaricsecurities.com/united-health-stock-time-for-a-reassessment/
United Health stock (UNH) has been volatile recently, affected by disappointing earnings, leadership changes, and challenges across the sector. The company is currently facing heightened scrutiny, legal issues, and instability within its leadership. As the ...

What’s Next for Berkshire Hathaway Stock

https://alaricsecurities.com/whats-next-for-berkshire-hathaway-stock/
We first wrote about  Berkshire Hathaway stock and Warren Buffett  back in May 2024. Our thesis at the time was pretty straightforward: Mr. Buffett’s investment record is nothing short of legendary – one that may ...

Top S&P 500 Sectors to Invest in for 2025

https://alaricsecurities.com/top-sp-500-sectors-to-invest-in-for-2025/
Analyzing Sector ETFs by Valuation, Growth Expectations, and Historical Returns Back in one of our latest articles, VIX Volatility Index Term Structure Explained, we pointed out that a meaningful sign of easing market stress is ...

Best Magnificent 7 Stock to Buy Now: Full Analysis

https://alaricsecurities.com/best-magnificent-7-stock-to-buy-now-full-analysis/
Finding the best Magnificent 7 stock to buy in 2025 requires careful analysis, especially given recent market performance. Much has been said about how the Magnificent 7 has lost its luster this year. Well, let’s ...

2025 vs 2008: Is Short Float Still a Crisis Signal

https://alaricsecurities.com/2025-vs-2008-is-short-float-still-a-crisis-signal/
There are striking similarities between sports betting and the financial markets, particularly in how both handle risk and probability. As the NBA playoffs unfold, it’s the perfect time to use sports betting as a lens ...

VIX Volatility Index Term Structure Explained

https://alaricsecurities.com/vix-volatility-index-term-structure-explained/
How to Spot Market Signals in Volatility Trends It seems like the stock market is on everyone’s mind. That’s no surprise—in volatile markets, fortunes are made and lost as investors experience emotional highs and lows. ...

Will Trump’s Tariffs Increase Inflation

https://alaricsecurities.com/will-trumps-tariffs-increase-inflation/
Breakevens and commodities hint at a complex inflation impact Tariffs aren’t just in the news; they’re driving it. With all recent developments, many of us wonder: will Trump’s tariffs increase inflation in 2025? The answer ...

Trump Tariffs Are Fueling Fear, Not Inflation

https://alaricsecurities.com/trump-tariffs-are-fueling-fear-not-inflation/
We’ve already explained how Trump tariffs function as a tax on imports—now it’s time to look at their broader impact. Although Trump introduced these tariffs to boost domestic production and cut the U.S. trade deficit, ...

What US Tariffs Really Mean

https://alaricsecurities.com/what-us-tariffs-really-mean/
Let’s start with the numbers. And the numbers are actually quite benign — in 2024, the US GDP was estimated at $29.2 trillion. Imports totaled $4.1 trillion, while exports reached $3.2 trillion. This isn’t to ...