Are We Headed for a Stock Market Correction in 2025
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/stock-market-correction-2025-outlook/
A colleague once lamented that every time his relationship with his wife seemed to be going well, something would happen, and suddenly there would be a lot of crying involved. That got me thinking: just ...
Till Drawdown Do Us Part: Marrying Your Positions
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/till-drawdown-do-us-part-marrying-your-positions/
Marrying your positions is often used as a warning in trading – don’t get too attached, don’t let emotions dictate decisions. Yet the reality is that successful long-term investing does require a form of marriage. ...
S&P 500 Sector Indices Review: Sept 2025 Outlook
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/sp-500-sector-indices-review-sept-2025-outlook/
It has been nearly four months since our last review of the S&P 500 sector indices on May 7, 2025. A lot has happened since then. The S&P 500 itself is up almost 18%, the ...
JD Stock Forecast: Analysts See Upside Into 2026
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/jd-stock-forecast-analysts-see-upside-into-2026/
We’ve recently discussed two of the most followed Chinese stocks – PDD Holdings (PDD) and Alibaba Group Holding (BABA). Back in December 2024, when PDD stock was trading around $107, we suggested it could climb ...
Copper vs Gold Performance as an Inflation Hedge
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/copper-vs-gold-performance-as-an-inflation-hedge/
Copper vs gold is drawing renewed attention as gold surges to record highs. Over the past month, gold climbed to $3,650 per ounce, setting a new all-time high, and Goldman Sachs has floated the possibility ...
Bitcoin vs Gold Comparison: Volatility and Long-Term Returns
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/bitcoin-vs-gold-comparison/
When it comes to investing, numbers only tell part of the story. This bitcoin vs gold comparison explores not just returns, but also how volatility and psychology shape investor behavior. To make this easier to ...
Is the S&P 500 Forward P/E Ratio of 25 Too High or Too Low
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/sp500-forward-pe-ratio-25/
Every few weeks, the same headline appears: stocks are expensive, gravity will pull them down, and the market is bound to fall. I used to believe that narrative, especially as a young trader, until I ...
Inflation Expectations vs Breakeven Rates
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/inflation-expectations-vs-breakeven-rates/
It seems that, one way or another, the Chairmanship of Mr. Jerome Powell of the Federal Reserve will come to an end, either through his scheduled retirement within a year or sooner, if Mr. Trump has ...
Gold as a Hedge Against Inflation: Reality Check
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/gold-as-a-hedge-against-inflation-reality-check/
What the Numbers Say About Returns and Volatility As a trained statistician, I often get frustrated by how people misuse statistics or, worse, use them carelessly. These mistakes may look harmless, but over time, they ...
Why the Best Market Predictors Are Surprisingly Simple
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/why-the-best-market-predictors-are-surprisingly-simple/
The Role of Consumer Confidence in Predicting Market Trends I’ll always be grateful to my statistics professor, Ms. Carol Marchetti, who encouraged me to study statistics at the University of Rochester. That one suggestion changed ...