Category: Market Insights

Is Gold Investing Smart or Speculative

https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/is-gold-investing-smart-or-speculative/
We have written about our cautious stance on gold investing before, but recent market action has compelled us to revisit the topic. First, there is a strong narrative around gold being a safe asset, an ...

Bond Yields in Bulgaria 2026: Fair Value vs Euro Area Peers

https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/bond-yields-in-bulgaria-2026-fair-value-vs-euro-area-peers/
Since Bulgaria joined the Euro Area on January 1, 2026, bond yields have moved to the forefront of investor attention. While much of the initial enthusiasm focused on equities—reflected in the SOFIX index rising by ...

Are the Odds of a Recession in 2026 Increasing

https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/are-the-odds-of-a-recession-in-2026-increasing/
There is a joke among economists that if you try to predict recessions, you will correctly predict 12 of the following 6. In other words, recessions are largely unpredictable or, at the very least, difficult ...

META stock: A Rare Value Play in Blue Chip Stocks

https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/meta-stock-a-rare-value-play-in-blue-chip-stocks/
At a time when most large-cap stocks trade at a 5%–10% discount to their Wall Street consensus value estimates, it is refreshing to see that Meta Platforms Inc. (META) , one of the best-performing stocks ...

Stock Market Outlook 2026

https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/stock-market-outlook-2026/
The S&P 500 is up a little over 16% year-to-date, excluding dividends, and is trading near all-time highs. Most Wall Street analysts expect an additional 10%–14% appreciation in 2026. Under normal circumstances, this would be ...

Next Fed Chair: Who Deserves the Job

https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/next-fed-chair-opinion/
For the regular readers of the Market Insights series, it should come as no surprise that we are not fans of Mr. Jerome Powell. There are multiple reasons for that, but it invariably comes down ...

Microsoft Stock Outlook: Buy, Hold, or Avoid Right Now

https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/microsoft-stock-outlook-buy-hold-or-avoid-right-now/
We have written about Microsoft stock (Nasdaq: MSFT) several times before—most recently in October 2024, when the stock was trading near USD 420, and we viewed it favorably. A little over a year later, with ...

Economy Outlook After US Government Shutdown 2025

https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/economy-outlook-after-us-government-shutdown-2025/
The government shutdown 2025 is already shaping markets, sentiment, and economic expectations—but comparisons to past shutdowns or the year 2000 are misleading. Having traded since 1999, I’ve seen major cycles firsthand, and today’s environment is ...

Solactive ETF Review: Not All ETFs Are Equal

https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/solactive-etf-review-not-all-etfs-are-equal/
We live in extraordinary times, some would even say revolutionary. AI is transforming our daily lives, President Trump is redefining what a president can and cannot do, and the financial industry seems to be creating ...

Gold: Trend Is Not Your Friend Forever

https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/gold-trend-is-not-your-friend-forever/
We covered gold a few weeks ago, back in September, in our piece Copper vs Gold as an Inflation Hedge. But the recent spike in volatility has put precious metals back in the spotlight — ...