Global Recession 2026: What to Expect
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/global-recession-2026-what-to-expect/
Could a Global Recession in 2026 Push Markets Into Freefall If the global economy were to enter a recession in 2026, how far could equity markets realistically fall? The honest answer is that nobody knows. ...
Conflict in the Middle East: Beyond the Obvious
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/conflict-in-the-middle-east-beyond-the-obvious/
Looking at Military Resources and Market Signals The conflict in the Middle East creates significant uncertainty for markets and policymakers. When tensions escalate, many assume that anything can happen. However, markets constantly interpret available information. ...
The 5×7 Rule or How To Build Better Habits
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/the-5x7-rule-or-how-to-build-better-habits/
One of our clients, a prop trading firm, is located on the floor above us in Alaric Tower. As a result, I interact with many of their traders on a daily basis. Recently, I noticed ...
AI Hype vs. Evidence: A Smarter Way to Invest
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/ai-hype-vs-evidence-a-smarter-way-to-invest/
In an era of unprecedented AI hype, knowing when enthusiasm outruns evidence may be the most important investing skill you can develop. Markets move fast, but data accumulates slowly. And the gap between the two ...
PDD Holdings Stock: Revisiting the Case at $100
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/pdd-holdings-stock-revisiting-the-case-at-100/
We have written positively on PDD Holdings stock before, most recently in December 2024, when we argued that PDD at 107 USD per share looked attractive. About a month later, the stock rallied to the ...
Is There an AI Bubble at Present or Not
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/is-there-an-ai-bubble-at-present-or-not/
ChatGPT recently had its third birthday. Hard to believe, but the application was released only in November 2022. It is even harder to imagine that there was no ChatGPT before then. In just three years, ...
Is Gold Investing Smart or Speculative
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/is-gold-investing-smart-or-speculative/
We have written about our cautious stance on gold investing before, but recent market action has compelled us to revisit the topic. First, there is a strong narrative around gold being a safe asset, an ...
Bond Yields in Bulgaria 2026: Fair Value vs Euro Area Peers
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/bond-yields-in-bulgaria-2026-fair-value-vs-euro-area-peers/
Since Bulgaria joined the Euro Area on January 1, 2026, bond yields have moved to the forefront of investor attention. While much of the initial enthusiasm focused on equities—reflected in the SOFIX index rising by ...
Are the Odds of a Recession in 2026 Increasing
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/are-the-odds-of-a-recession-in-2026-increasing/
There is a joke among economists that if you try to predict recessions, you will correctly predict 12 of the following 6. In other words, recessions are largely unpredictable or, at the very least, difficult ...
META stock: A Rare Value Play in Blue Chip Stocks
https://alaricsecurities.com/blog/meta-stock-a-rare-value-play-in-blue-chip-stocks/
At a time when most large-cap stocks trade at a 5%–10% discount to their Wall Street consensus value estimates, it is refreshing to see that Meta Platforms Inc. (META) , one of the best-performing stocks ...